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In order to avoid the base rate fallacy, you have to know The base rate fallacy mistakes a test result with the likelihood of an event diminished by the failure margin of the test, not taking into account the overall likelihood of the event and thereby neglecting the relative distribution of actual cases (true positive) and false positive cases.

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User Bembas
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Answer:

Which line is a direct quotation from an external source?

“This is quite clearly mid-range pottery, simple earthenware of a sort that many quite modest British households were then able to afford.”

“But the owners of this particular set must have had serious social aspirations, because all three pieces have been decorated with a drape of lacy hallmarked silver.”

“The historian Celina Fox explains that tea-time had become a very smart event . . .”

“In the 1840s the Duchess of Bedford introduces the ritual of afternoon tea, because by this time dinner had become so late, seven-thirty to eight o’clock . . .”

Step-by-step explanation:

Which line is a direct quotation from an external source?

“This is quite clearly mid-range pottery, simple earthenware of a sort that many quite modest British households were then able to afford.”

“But the owners of this particular set must have had serious social aspirations, because all three pieces have been decorated with a drape of lacy hallmarked silver.”

“The historian Celina Fox explains that tea-time had become a very smart event . . .”

“In the 1840s the Duchess of Bedford introduces the ritual of afternoon tea, because by this time dinner had become so late, seven-thirty to eight o’clock . . .”

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User Tusk
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