Answer: 0.44
Reason:
The events "needs a cleaning" and "needs a filling" are independent. Therefore, we can immediately conclude that the prior condition "needs a cleaning" does not affect "needs a filling". That's why we go for the answer of 0.44 which is stated in the instructions.
In terms of symbols:
- C = patient needs a cleaning
- F = patient needs a filling
- P(C) = 0.89 = probability the patient needs a cleaning
- P(F) = 0.44
- P(F given C) = P(F) .... since F and C are independent
- P(F given C) = 0.44
The knowledge about event C happening does not change the value of P(F). Now if events F and C were dependent somehow, then P(F given C) would be different from P(F).