Final answer:
To find the probability for exactly 4 students to attend the class tomorrow, we can use the binomial probability formula. The probability that the first successful hunt occurs more than 5 days can be calculated using the geometric probability formula.
Step-by-step explanation:
To find the probability for exactly 4 students to attend the class tomorrow, we can use the binomial probability formula. The formula is P(X=k) = C(n,k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k), where n is the number of trials, k is the number of successes, p is the probability of success on a single trial, and C(n,k) is the number of combinations of n items taken k at a time. In this case, n=1 (since it is a single day), k=4, p=0.03 (3 students out of 100), and C(n,k) = n!/(k!(n-k)!). Substituting these values into the formula:
P(X=4) = C(1,4) * 0.03^4 * (1-0.03)^(1-4)
Since C(1,4) = 1/4!, which is 1, the formula simplifies to:
P(X=4) = 0.03^4 * (1-0.03)^(-3)
Calculating this, we get P(X=4) = 0.000081.
Therefore, the probability for exactly 4 students to attend the class tomorrow is 0.000081
For the second question, the probability that the first successful hunt occurs more than 5 days can be calculated using the geometric probability formula. The formula is P(X>k) = (1-p)^k, where p is the probability of success and k is the number of trials until the first success occurs. In this case, p=0.10 (10% chance of a successful hunt), and k>5 (more than 5 days). Substituting these values into the formula:
P(X>5) = (1-0.10)^5
Calculating this, we get P(X>5) = 0.59049.
Therefore, the probability that the first successful hunt occurs more than 5 days is 0.59049