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Box A contains 2 white and 3 red balls, and Box B contains 4 white and 5 red balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the boxes and is found to be red. Then, what is the probability that it was from Box B?

a) 2/5​
b) 3/7​
c) 5/9​
d) 9​/14

1 Answer

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Final answer:

To find the probability that a red ball drawn at random is from Box B, we calculate the individual probabilities of drawing a red ball from each box and apply Bayes' theorem. The probability that the red ball is from Box B is 9/14, making the answer (d).

Step-by-step explanation:

Probability of Drawing a Red Ball from Box B

The question asks for the probability that a red ball drawn at random is from Box B. First, we calculate the chance of drawing a red ball from each box individually, and then we apply Bayes' theorem to find the desired probability. Box A has a total of 5 balls (2 white and 3 red), while Box B has 9 balls (4 white and 5 red).

The probability of choosing Box A and then drawing a red ball from it is (1/2) * (3/5) = 3/10, and the probability of choosing Box B and then drawing a red ball from it is (1/2) * (5/9) = 5/18. To find the total probability of drawing a red ball from either box, we add these probabilities together:

Total probability of drawing a red ball = (3/10) + (5/18) = 54/90 + 25/90 = 79/90.

To find the probability that the red ball is from Box B given that a red ball was drawn, we divide the probability of drawing a red ball from Box B by the total probability of drawing a red ball:

Probability = (Probability of red from B) / (Total probability of red) = (5/18) / (79/90) = 5/18 * 90/79 = 450/1422, which simplifies to 5/14, or 9/14 when expressed in simplest form.

Therefore, the answer is (d) 9/14, indicating that the probability the red ball was drawn from Box B is 9/14.

answered
User Robert Hurst
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