Question

Suppose you and your colleagues have identified three reliable and recent polls. Looking at the results of all three, you find their p-values to be: 0.058 0.026 0.045 Barring any major incidents between now and election day, how much evidence do you have to predict your candidate will win the election

Answer 1

The answer is "Pretty confident our candidate will win".

Explanation:

All the following theories:

`H_o`: The loss of our candidate

`H_a`: Our candidate

P values of 0.058, 0.026 and 0.045 are defined.

All values are below 0.10, but 2 of them will be below 0.05, which indicates very good proof of Ha. Therefore, the right reply is that our candidate will win very comfortably.