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A student researcher compares the heights of American students and non-American students from the student body of a certain college in order to estimate the difference in their mean heights. A random sample of 12 American students had a mean height of 68.4 inches with a standard deviation of 1.64 inches. A random sample of 17 non-American students had a mean height of 64.9 inches with a standard deviation of 1.75 inches. Determine the 95% confidence interval for the true mean difference between the mean height of the American students and the mean height of the non-American students. Assume that the population variances are equal and that the two populations are normally distributed. Find the point estimate that should be used in constructing the confidence interval.

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Answer:

The point estimate that should be used in constructing the confidence interval is 3.5.

The 95% confidence interval for the true mean difference between the mean height of the American students and the mean height of the non-American students, in inches, is (2.25, 4.75).

Explanation:

Before building the confidence interval, we need to understand the central limit theorem and subtraction of normal variables.

Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem establishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean
\mu and standard deviation
\sigma, the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean
\mu and standard deviation
s = (\sigma)/(√(n)).

For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.

Subtraction between normal variables:

When two normal variables are subtracted, the mean is the difference of the means, while the standard deviation is the square root of the sum of the variances.

American students:

Sample of 12, mean height of 68.4 inches with a standard deviation of 1.64 inches. This means that:


\mu_A = 68.4


s_A = (1.64)/(√(12)) = 0.4743

Non-American students:

Sample of 17, mean height of 64.9 inches with a standard deviation of 1.75 inches. This means that:


\mu_N = 64.9


s_N = (1.75)/(√(17)) = 0.4244

Distribution of the difference:


\mu = \mu_A - \mu_N = 68.4 - 64.9 = 3.5


s = √(s_A^2+s_N^2) = √(0.4743^2 + 0.4244^2) = 0.6365

The point estimate that should be used in constructing the confidence interval is 3.5.

Confidence interval:


\mu \pm zs

In which

z is the z-score that has a p-value of
1 - (\alpha)/(2).

95% confidence level

So
\alpha = 0.05, z is the value of Z that has a p-value of
1 - (0.05)/(2) = 0.975, so
Z = 1.96.

The lower bound of the interval is:


\mu - zs = 3.5 - 1.96*0.6365 = 2.25

The upper bound of the interval is:


\mu + zs = 3.5 + 1.96*0.6365 = 4.75

The 95% confidence interval for the true mean difference between the mean height of the American students and the mean height of the non-American students, in inches, is (2.25, 4.75).

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User Viktor Bylbas
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