For likelihood you have to ask yourself: ¿Is it likely or unlikely for you to pick an elk that is unmarked?
It is very likely to pick an unmarked elk, because there are way too many unmarked elks in comparison to marked ones, so the likelihood of this event happening is very high.
c) A bag of 50 marbles which has 48 red marbles (representing unmarked elks) and 2 blue marbles representing marked elk