False. Based on the information provided, the long jumper should not reject his claim at a 10% significance level.
Here's why:
1. Hypothesis testing framework:
Null hypothesis (H0): The long jumper's average jump distance is equal to 16 feet.
Alternative hypothesis (Ha): The long jumper's average jump distance is not equal to 16 feet.
Significance level (α): 10% chance of falsely rejecting the null hypothesis when it's true.
2. Test statistic calculation:
We need to calculate the z-score, which measures how many standard deviations the mean jump distance (15.4 ft) is away from the hypothesized mean (16 ft).
z = (15.4 - 16) / 1.8 ≈ -0.33.
3. Critical values and decision rule:
At a 10% significance level, the critical z-scores are +/- 1.645. This means if the calculated z-score falls outside this range, we reject the null hypothesis.
In this case, -0.33 is well within the range of non-rejection (-1.645 to 1.645).
4. Conclusion:
Since the calculated z-score does not fall outside the critical region, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
This means there is not enough evidence to conclude, at a 10% significance level, that the long jumper's average jump distance is different from 16 feet.
Therefore, the long jumper cannot claim to have statistically proven that his average jump distance is different from 16 feet based on this sample data and significance level. He should further investigate or collect more data before drawing stronger conclusions.