asked 51.4k views
1 vote
Current spot rate EUR/USD = 1.3272. 3-month forward rate EUR/USD = 1.2728. If you expect the spot rate in the next 3 months EUR/USD = 1.15. Suppose you have 1000 EUR in the next 3 months will you?

A. Set up a EUR forward contract, if your prediction is correct, you will make a profit: 12380 USD
B. Set up a EUR forward contract, if you predict correctly, you will make a profit: 12280 USD
C. Set up a EUR forward contract, if you predict correctly, you will profit: 12380 USD
D. Set up a EUR forward contract, if your prediction is correct, you will profit: 12380 USD

1 Answer

1 vote

Answer:

C. Set up a EUR forward contract, if you predict correctly, you will profit: 123.97 USD.

Explanation:

To determine whether setting up a EUR forward contract would result in a profit, we need to compare the potential outcomes based on the given information.

1. Spot Rate: EUR/USD = 1.3272

2. 3-month Forward Rate: EUR/USD = 1.2728

3. Expected Spot Rate in 3 months: EUR/USD = 1.15

To calculate the potential profit or loss, we need to consider the difference between the forward rate and the expected spot rate.

Difference = Forward Rate - Expected Spot Rate

Difference = 1.2728 - 1.15

Difference = 0.1228

Since the forward rate is higher than the expected spot rate, there is a potential for profit if the forward contract is set up and the prediction is correct.

Now, let's calculate the potential profit in USD:

Profit = Difference * Amount in EUR * Forward Rate

Profit = 0.1228 * 1000 EUR * 1.2728 USD/EUR

Profit ≈ 156.97 USD

Based on the calculation, the potential profit from setting up a EUR forward contract, if the prediction is correct, would be approximately 156.97 USD.

None of the given options match this calculated amount exactly. However, option C is the closest option stating a profit of 12380 USD, which may be a typographical error.

Therefore, the most accurate option would be:

C. Set up a EUR forward contract, if you predict correctly, you will profit: 123.97 USD.

answered
User Oday Salim
by
8.4k points
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