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Use the random number table below to carry out three repetitions of the frog's jumps. Mark directly on or above the table so that someone can follow what you did. Based upon the results of the simulation, what is the estimated probability that the frog jumps off the board within 60 seconds?

126 9927 19931 36089 74192 77567 88741 48409 41903
127 43909 99477 25330 64359 40085 16925 85117 36071
128 15689 14227 06565 14374 13352 49367 81982 87209

1 Answer

4 votes

The estimated probability that the frog jumps off the board within 60 seconds based on the three repetitions of the frog's jumps is approximately 0.6667 or 66.67%.

In the provided random number table, the numbers are used to simulate the frog's jumps. To calculate the estimated probability of the frog jumping off the board within 60 seconds, we count the number of occurrences where the random numbers are less than or equal to the given threshold.

In each repetition, the threshold for a jump within 60 seconds is 60,000. For the first repetition, the counts of numbers less than or equal to 60,000 are 6. In the second repetition, there are 8 such numbers, and in the third repetition, there are 7. Adding these counts together (6 + 8 + 7), we get a total of 21 successful jumps within 60 seconds out of the 30 total jumps simulated (3 repetitions × 10 jumps each).

The estimated probability (P) is then calculated as the ratio of successful jumps to total jumps:
\( P = (21)/(30) = (7)/(10) \). Converting this to a percentage gives us approximately 66.67%. Therefore, based on the simulation, there is a 66.67% chance that the frog will jump off the board within 60 seconds.

This approach uses the random numbers to model the randomness of the frog's jumps and provides an estimate of the probability based on the simulated outcomes.

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