Assuming that both meteorites are identical in size and composition, the meteorite would have a greater chance of reaching the Earth's surface than the Moon's surface.
This is because the Earth has a denser atmosphere than the Moon. As the meteorite enters the Earth's atmosphere, it experiences frictional forces due to the air molecules. This causes the meteorite to heat up and ablate, but it also slows it down. As a result, the meteorite is more likely to survive the descent and reach the Earth's surface.
On the other hand, the Moon has a very tenuous atmosphere, which offers little resistance to the meteorite. As a result, the meteorite would impact the Moon's surface at a higher velocity, causing it to break up or disintegrate upon impact.
However, it's worth noting that the actual outcome would depend on many factors, such as the meteorite's size, composition, angle of entry, and the specific conditions of the Earth's and Moon's atmospheres at the time of impact.