Final answer:
International parity conditions are not at parity between the U.S. and Japan based on the forward exchange rate, interest rate differentials, and inflation forecasts. The Japanese yen is expected to appreciate against the U.S. dollar.
Step-by-step explanation:
International parity conditions can be assessed by considering the forward exchange rate and the interest rate differential between two countries. To determine whether U.S./Japanese financial conditions are at parity, we can compare the given spot rate and the forward rate. If the forward rate is higher than the spot rate, it suggests that the currency is expected to appreciate. Additionally, we can compare the interest rate differentials between the two countries. A higher interest rate in one country compared to the other can indicate that the currency of the country with a higher interest rate is expected to appreciate.
In this case, the spot rate is ¥89.00 = $1.00, and the 360-day forward rate is ¥84.90 = $1.00. The forward rate is lower than the spot rate, suggesting that the Japanese yen is expected to appreciate. However, we need to consider the interest rate differential as well.The forecasted inflation for Japan is 1.103%, while the forecasted inflation for the United States is 5.901%. The 360-day euroyen deposit rate is 4.697%, and the 360-day eurodollar deposit rate is 9.496%. By comparing the interest rate differentials, we can see that the eurodollar deposit rate is higher than the euroyen deposit rate, meaning that the United States has a higher interest rate compared to Japan. This suggests that the U.S. dollar is expected to appreciate.
Based on these findings, it seems that U.S./Japanese financial conditions are not at parity. The forward exchange rate and interest rate differentials indicate that the Japanese yen is expected to appreciate against the U.S. dollar.