asked 58.3k views
1 vote
A water well is being drilled in the desert where soil is either rock, clay, or sand. Probability of rock P(R) = 0.42, probability of clay P(C) = 0.34, and probability of sand P(S) =0.24. A geological test gives positive results with 40% accuracy in rock, 50% accuracy with clay, and 80% accuracy in sand. Given the test is positive, what is the probability that the soil is rock, P(Rock|positive)? Use Bayes’ rule.

asked
User KimCrab
by
8.2k points

1 Answer

3 votes
The probality is 19.5
answered
User Uba
by
7.9k points
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